Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Tabatha Ricci vs Loopy Godinez
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Tabatha Ricci
Loopy Godinez
57%
43%
Why
61"
Reach
61"
29
Age
Δ 2y
30
13-4
Career record
Δ 5 pp
15-6
W4
Current streak
W3
5
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Ricci: 84 sig / 0 TD ·
Godinez: 98 sig / 0 TD
Tabatha Ricci
Loopy Godinez
52
Sig strikes landed
58
137
Sig strikes attempted
140
79
Total strikes landed
83
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.4
4.2
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
149s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Tabatha Ricci
"Baby Shark"
13-4
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
Blue corner
W3
Loopy Godinez
15-6
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—