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Alex Reyes vs Charlie Campbell

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 ·T-Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Alex Reyes
Charlie Campbell
49% 51%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
37
Age
Δ 9y
28
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Reyes: 14 sig / 0 TD · Campbell: 43 sig / 0 TD
Alex Reyes
Charlie Campbell
23
Sig strikes landed
34
49
Sig strikes attempted
67
40
Total strikes landed
55
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
128s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
32%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Alex Reyes

"The Executioner"
13-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
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Blue corner

Charlie Campbell

"The Cannibal"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28