Back to UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Josefine Knutsson vs Marnic Mann

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 ·T-Mobile Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Josefine Knutsson
Marnic Mann
67% 33%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 4"
64"
28
Age
Δ 3y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Knutsson: 81 sig / 3 TD · Mann: 8 sig / 0 TD
Josefine Knutsson
Marnic Mann
37
Sig strikes landed
33
75
Sig strikes attempted
64
70
Total strikes landed
62
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
190s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Josefine Knutsson

"Thunder"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Marnic Mann

"The Sawed-Off Savage"
0-0
Career record
Height
60"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31