Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Tracy Cortez vs Jasmine Jasudavicius
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Tracy Cortez
Jasmine Jasudavicius
60%
40%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
30
Age
Δ 5y
34
13-3
Career record
Δ 1 pp
16-4
W4
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cortez: 103 sig / 0 TD ·
Jasudavicius: 77 sig / 2 TD
Tracy Cortez
Jasmine Jasudavicius
53
Sig strikes landed
44
128
Sig strikes attempted
115
82
Total strikes landed
80
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.7
3.8
Takedowns attempted
6.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
108s
Control time
234s
Method
Decision
81%
KO/TKO
7%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Tracy Cortez
13-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
Blue corner
W2
Jasmine Jasudavicius
16-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—