Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Loopy Godinez vs Elise Reed
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Loopy Godinez
Elise Reed
73%
27%
Why
61"
Reach
Δ 2"
63"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
15-6
Career record
Δ 7 pp
9-5
W2
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Godinez: 21 sig / 5 TD ·
Reed: 3 sig / 0 TD
Loopy Godinez
Elise Reed
44
Sig strikes landed
36
95
Sig strikes attempted
96
76
Total strikes landed
67
2.2
Takedowns landed
-0.1
5.2
Takedowns attempted
-0.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
308s
Control time
36s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Loopy Godinez
15-6
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
Blue corner
W1
Elise Reed
9-5
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
L
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—