Prelims1
Middleweight
Roman Kopylov vs Josh Fremd
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Roman Kopylov
Josh Fremd
67%
33%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
31
Age
Δ 2y
30
16-5
Career record
Δ 10 pp
12-6
W3
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Kopylov: 49 sig / 0 TD ·
Fremd: 38 sig / 0 TD
Roman Kopylov
Josh Fremd
39
Sig strikes landed
34
73
Sig strikes attempted
75
52
Total strikes landed
39
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.0
Takedowns attempted
5.5
0.60
Knockdowns
0.10
75s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Roman Kopylov
16-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
Blue corner
W2
Josh Fremd
12-6
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
L
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—