Back to UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Main Bantamweight

Raul Rosas Jr. vs Terrence Mitchell

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 ·T-Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Raul Rosas Jr.
Terrence Mitchell
79% 21%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 7"
74"
19
Age
Δ 15y
34
12-2
Career record
Δ 12 pp
14-5
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rosas Jr.: 18 sig / 0 TD · Mitchell: 6 sig / 0 TD
Raul Rosas Jr.
Terrence Mitchell
35
Sig strikes landed
53
66
Sig strikes attempted
84
46
Total strikes landed
68
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
224s
Control time
204s
Method
Decision
19%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Raul Rosas Jr.

"El Nino Problema"
12-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
19
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
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W UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
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Blue corner
L1

Terrence Mitchell

14-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
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