Main
Lightweight
Daniel Zellhuber vs Christos Giagos
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Daniel Zellhuber
Christos Giagos
77%
23%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
24
Age
Δ 9y
34
16-4
Career record
Δ 16 pp
21-12
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Zellhuber: 36 sig / 0 TD ·
Giagos: 38 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Zellhuber
Christos Giagos
44
Sig strikes landed
46
127
Sig strikes attempted
98
65
Total strikes landed
53
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.0
Takedowns attempted
6.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
64s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Daniel Zellhuber
"Golden Boy"
16-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Christos Giagos
"The Spartan"
21-12
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
12 fights · 6-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—