Main
Women's Strawweight
Jessica Andrade vs Tatiana Suarez
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
·Bridgestone Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Jessica Andrade
Tatiana Suarez
48%
52%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 4"
66"
32
Age
Δ 1y
33
26-16
Career record
Δ 31 pp
14-1
L2
Current streak
W6
24
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Andrade: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Suarez: 23 sig / 3 TD
Jessica Andrade
Tatiana Suarez
41
Sig strikes landed
46
75
Sig strikes attempted
81
60
Total strikes landed
68
0.7
Takedowns landed
3.1
0.6
Takedowns attempted
6.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
52s
Control time
360s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
55%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26-16
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
24 fights · 15-9
Last 5
L
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
Blue corner
W6
Tatiana Suarez
14-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—