Main
Light Heavyweight
Dustin Jacoby vs Kennedy Nzechukwu
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
·Bridgestone Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dustin Jacoby
Kennedy Nzechukwu
58%
42%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 7"
83"
35
Age
Δ 4y
31
22-10-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
15-6-1
L2
Current streak
W3
11
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jacoby: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Nzechukwu: 4 sig / 0 TD
Dustin Jacoby
Kennedy Nzechukwu
56
Sig strikes landed
58
121
Sig strikes attempted
132
74
Total strikes landed
69
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
74s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Dustin Jacoby
"The Hanyak"
22-10-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
11 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
Blue corner
W3
Kennedy Nzechukwu
"Chosen"
15-6-1
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
83"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—