Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Cory Sandhagen
Rob Font
62%
38%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
31
Age
Δ 5y
36
19-6
Career record
Δ 6 pp
23-10
W2
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Sandhagen: 34 sig / 7 TD ·
Font: 9 sig / 1 TD
Cory Sandhagen
Rob Font
85
Sig strikes landed
80
176
Sig strikes attempted
157
100
Total strikes landed
93
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
148s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Cory Sandhagen
19-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
Blue corner
W1
Rob Font
23-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
15 fights · 10-5
Last 5
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—