Back to UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Farid Basharat vs Kleydson Rodrigues

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac ·Accor Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Farid Basharat
Kleydson Rodrigues
83% 17%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28
16-0
Career record
Δ 31 pp
9-4
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Basharat: 4 sig / 2 TD · Rodrigues: 7 sig / 0 TD
Farid Basharat
Kleydson Rodrigues
58
Sig strikes landed
39
98
Sig strikes attempted
84
97
Total strikes landed
49
3.3
Takedowns landed
0.3
5.1
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
285s
Control time
57s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
28%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Farid Basharat

"Ferocious"
16-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
W1

Kleydson Rodrigues

"KR"
9-4
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
L UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—