Back to UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Nora Cornolle vs Joselyne Edwards

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac ·Accor Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Nora Cornolle
Joselyne Edwards
30% 70%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
—
Current streak
W3
0
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cornolle: 40 sig / 0 TD · Edwards: 18 sig / 5 TD
Nora Cornolle
Joselyne Edwards
45
Sig strikes landed
58
100
Sig strikes attempted
106
78
Total strikes landed
84
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
141s
Control time
186s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Nora Cornolle

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
Blue corner
W3

Joselyne Edwards

"La Pantera"
19-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
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