Back to UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Prelims1 Catch Weight

Zarah Fairn vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac ·Accor Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Zarah Fairn
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
21% 79%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
40
Age
Δ 14y
26
L3
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Fairn: 39 sig / 0 TD · Cavalcanti: 126 sig / 0 TD
Zarah Fairn
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
51
Sig strikes landed
51
148
Sig strikes attempted
141
64
Total strikes landed
78
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.0
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.60
93s
Control time
174s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Zarah Fairn

"Infinite"
6-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database 3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
L UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
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L UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
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Blue corner

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26