Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Manon Fiorot
Rose Namajunas
65%
35%
Why
65"
Reach
65"
34
Age
Δ 2y
31
14-2
Career record
Δ 25 pp
15-9
W5
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Fiorot: 58 sig / 0 TD ·
Namajunas: 60 sig / 0 TD
Manon Fiorot
Rose Namajunas
62
Sig strikes landed
67
162
Sig strikes attempted
166
78
Total strikes landed
84
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
100s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Manon Fiorot
"The Beast"
14-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
Blue corner
L1
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
15-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
L
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—