Back to UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Prelims1 Lightweight

Nasrat Haqparast vs Landon Quinones

UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland ·Qudos Bank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Nasrat Haqparast
Landon Quinones
78% 22%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
W1
Current streak
—
10
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Haqparast: 171 sig / 0 TD · Quinones: 148 sig / 0 TD
Nasrat Haqparast
Landon Quinones
79
Sig strikes landed
45
152
Sig strikes attempted
114
78
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
0.9
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
91s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Nasrat Haqparast

19-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database 10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
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L UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
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L UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
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W UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
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W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
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Blue corner

Landon Quinones

"The Lone Wolf"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28