Back to UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Prelims2 Welterweight

Blood Diamond vs Charles Radtke

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Blood Diamond
Charles Radtke
36% 64%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
35
Age
Δ 2y
33
L2
Current streak
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Diamond: 44 sig / 0 TD · Radtke: 35 sig / 1 TD
Blood Diamond
Charles Radtke
33
Sig strikes landed
35
74
Sig strikes attempted
61
34
Total strikes landed
57
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
62s
Control time
170s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Blood Diamond

3-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
L UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
Blue corner

Charles Radtke

"Chuck Buffalo"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33