Prelims1
Lightweight
Jamie Mullarkey vs John Makdessi
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
·Qudos Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jamie Mullarkey
John Makdessi
74%
26%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
68"
29
Age
Δ 9y
38
18-10
Career record
Δ 0 pp
18-10
L1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
19
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mullarkey: 88 sig / 0 TD ·
Makdessi: 83 sig / 0 TD
Jamie Mullarkey
John Makdessi
65
Sig strikes landed
65
143
Sig strikes attempted
114
74
Total strikes landed
79
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
88s
Control time
40s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jamie Mullarkey
18-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
W
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
Blue corner
L1
John Makdessi
"The Bull"
18-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
19 fights · 11-8
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—