Back to UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Prelims2 Featherweight

Shane Young vs Gabriel Miranda

UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland ·Qudos Bank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Shane Young
Gabriel Miranda
57% 43%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
30
Age
Δ 3y
34
13-9
Career record
Δ 6 pp
17-9
L3
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Young: 1 sig / 0 TD · Miranda: 2 sig / 1 TD
Shane Young
Gabriel Miranda
37
Sig strikes landed
44
96
Sig strikes attempted
97
60
Total strikes landed
50
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
111s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Shane Young

"Smokin'"
13-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
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L UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
W UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
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Blue corner
L1

Gabriel Miranda

"Fly"
17-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
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