Back to UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Prelims2 Welterweight

Kevin Jousset vs Kiefer Crosbie

UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland ·Qudos Bank Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Kevin Jousset
Kiefer Crosbie
65% 35%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Jousset: 29 sig / 1 TD · Crosbie: 39 sig / 0 TD
Kevin Jousset
Kiefer Crosbie
38
Sig strikes landed
34
81
Sig strikes attempted
66
55
Total strikes landed
49
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
132s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Kevin Jousset

"Air"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner

Kiefer Crosbie

"BDK"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
33