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Tyson Pedro vs Anton Turkalj

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Tyson Pedro
Anton Turkalj
56% 44%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 1"
78"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
10-6
Career record
Δ 1 pp
8-5
L1
Current streak
L2
9
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pedro: 16 sig / 0 TD · Turkalj: 8 sig / 0 TD
Tyson Pedro
Anton Turkalj
21
Sig strikes landed
13
32
Sig strikes attempted
21
44
Total strikes landed
28
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Tyson Pedro

10-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
W UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
W UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
L UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
L UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
Blue corner
L2

Anton Turkalj

"The Pleasure Man"
8-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
L UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson