Back to UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
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Carlos Ulberg vs Da Woon Jung

UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland ·Qudos Bank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Carlos Ulberg
Da Woon Jung
64% 36%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30
16-1
Career record
Δ 29 pp
15-7-1
W4
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Ulberg: 81 sig / 1 TD · Jung: 58 sig / 1 TD
Carlos Ulberg
Da Woon Jung
40
Sig strikes landed
28
66
Sig strikes attempted
58
52
Total strikes landed
39
0.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
0.7
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.60
Knockdowns
0.10
60s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W4

Carlos Ulberg

"Black Jag"
16-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
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W UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
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W UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
L UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
Blue corner
L2

Da Woon Jung

"Sseda"
15-7-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 7 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
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L UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
D UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—