Back to UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Prelims1 Featherweight

Francis Marshall vs Isaac Dulgarian

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Francis Marshall
Isaac Dulgarian
65% 35%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
24
Age
Δ 3y
27
L1
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Marshall: 2 sig / 0 TD · Dulgarian: 35 sig / 1 TD
Francis Marshall
Isaac Dulgarian
27
Sig strikes landed
34
68
Sig strikes attempted
66
49
Total strikes landed
39
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
165s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Francis Marshall

"Fire"
10-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
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Blue corner

Isaac Dulgarian

"The Midwest Choppa"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27