Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Andrea Lee
Natalia Silva
17%
83%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
65"
34
Age
Δ 8y
26
13-12
Career record
Δ 26 pp
21-5-1
L2
Current streak
W3
10
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lee: 43 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 70 sig / 0 TD
Andrea Lee
Natalia Silva
48
Sig strikes landed
71
113
Sig strikes attempted
146
56
Total strikes landed
93
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.9
-0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
94s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Andrea Lee
"KGB"
13-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
Blue corner
W3
Natalia Silva
21-5-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—