Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Karine Silva
Maryna Moroz
73%
27%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
20-7
Career record
Δ 13 pp
11-7
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Silva: 30 sig / 1 TD ·
Moroz: 16 sig / 0 TD
Karine Silva
Maryna Moroz
42
Sig strikes landed
38
114
Sig strikes attempted
109
58
Total strikes landed
49
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
176s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Karine Silva
"Killer"
20-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
Blue corner
L1
Maryna Moroz
"Iron Lady"
11-7
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—