Prelims2
Middleweight
Andre Petroski vs Gerald Meerschaert
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
·TD Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Andre Petroski
Gerald Meerschaert
50%
50%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
32
Age
Δ 4y
36
14-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
37-23
W4
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
18
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Petroski: 57 sig / 2 TD ·
Meerschaert: 76 sig / 1 TD
Andre Petroski
Gerald Meerschaert
38
Sig strikes landed
29
76
Sig strikes attempted
60
55
Total strikes landed
46
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.8
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
201s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
38%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Andre Petroski
14-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
Blue corner
L1
Gerald Meerschaert
"GM3"
37-23
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
18 fights · 10-8
Last 5
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—