🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Strawweight
Zhang Weili vs Amanda Lemos
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
·TD Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Zhang Weili
Amanda Lemos
88%
12%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
34
Age
Δ 2y
36
27-4
Career record
Δ 18 pp
16-6-1
W2
Current streak
W2
9
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Weili: 163 sig / 6 TD ·
Lemos: 24 sig / 0 TD
Zhang Weili
Amanda Lemos
73
Sig strikes landed
42
118
Sig strikes attempted
107
132
Total strikes landed
61
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.8
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
206s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Zhang Weili
"Magnum"
27-4
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
L
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
L
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
W
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
Blue corner
W2
Amanda Lemos
16-6-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—