Back to UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
Prelims1 Middleweight

Roman Kopylov vs Claudio Ribeiro

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Roman Kopylov
Claudio Ribeiro
65% 35%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
16-5
Career record
Δ 6 pp
12-5
W2
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Kopylov: 32 sig / 0 TD · Ribeiro: 32 sig / 0 TD
Roman Kopylov
Claudio Ribeiro
39
Sig strikes landed
36
77
Sig strikes attempted
84
52
Total strikes landed
44
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
79s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Roman Kopylov

16-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
L UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
L UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
Blue corner
W1

Claudio Ribeiro

12-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
L UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…