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Main Welterweight

Jack Della Maddalena vs Bassil Hafez

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jack Della Maddalena
Bassil Hafez
81% 19%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
W4
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Della Maddalena: 83 sig / 1 TD · Hafez: 32 sig / 3 TD
Jack Della Maddalena
Bassil Hafez
41
Sig strikes landed
25
80
Sig strikes attempted
58
51
Total strikes landed
29
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
0.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.60
Knockdowns
0.10
89s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W4

Jack Della Maddalena

19-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database 4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
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W UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
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W UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
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W UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
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Blue corner

Bassil Hafez

"The Habibi"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32