Main
Women's Bantamweight
Holly Holm vs Mayra Bueno Silva
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Holly Holm
Mayra Bueno Silva
57%
43%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
42
Age
Δ 10y
32
16-7
Career record
Δ 12 pp
11-7-1
W1
Current streak
W3
14
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 2
Holm: 27 sig / 0 TD ·
Bueno Silva: 20 sig / 0 TD
Holly Holm
Mayra Bueno Silva
62
Sig strikes landed
55
133
Sig strikes attempted
122
83
Total strikes landed
77
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
235s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
16-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
42
In our database
14 fights · 8-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
L
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
Blue corner
W3
Mayra Bueno Silva
"Sheetara"
11-7-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—