Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Tyson Nam
Azat Maksum
27%
73%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
40
Age
Δ 11y
28
L1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Nam: 81 sig / 0 TD ·
Maksum: 46 sig / 2 TD
Tyson Nam
Azat Maksum
36
Sig strikes landed
41
82
Sig strikes attempted
83
48
Total strikes landed
46
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
79s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Tyson Nam
21-15-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
Blue corner
Azat Maksum
"Qazaq"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28