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Nazim Sadykhov vs Terrance McKinney

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Nazim Sadykhov
Terrance McKinney
56% 44%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
12-2-1
Career record
Δ 13 pp
18-9
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Sadykhov: 8 sig / 0 TD · McKinney: 6 sig / 2 TD
Nazim Sadykhov
Terrance McKinney
38
Sig strikes landed
40
73
Sig strikes attempted
99
45
Total strikes landed
49
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
42s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Nazim Sadykhov

"Black Wolf"
12-2-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
Blue corner
L1

Terrance McKinney

"T. Wrecks"
18-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
W UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
W UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2