Main
Women's Featherweight
Norma Dumont vs Chelsea Chandler
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Norma Dumont
Chelsea Chandler
72%
28%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
33
Age
Δ 0y
33
14-3
Career record
Δ 19 pp
7-4
W2
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dumont: 47 sig / 3 TD ·
Chandler: 22 sig / 1 TD
Norma Dumont
Chelsea Chandler
49
Sig strikes landed
33
99
Sig strikes attempted
82
73
Total strikes landed
59
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.7
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
191s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Norma Dumont
"The Immortal"
14-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
Blue corner
W1
Chelsea Chandler
7-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—