Back to UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Viktoriia Dudakova vs Istela Nunes

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Viktoriia Dudakova
Istela Nunes
78% 22%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
24
Age
Δ 6y
31
—
Current streak
L3
0
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Dudakova: 3 sig / 1 TD · Nunes: 2 sig / 0 TD
Viktoriia Dudakova
Istela Nunes
53
Sig strikes landed
47
124
Sig strikes attempted
102
80
Total strikes landed
56
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.7
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
176s
Control time
67s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Viktoriia Dudakova

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
L3

Istela Nunes

6-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
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