Back to UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Prelims1 Middleweight

Abu Azaitar vs Sedriques Dumas

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 ·Etihad Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Abu Azaitar
Sedriques Dumas
55% 45%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
79"
38
Age
Δ 9y
28
14-5-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
11-5
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Azaitar: 41 sig / 2 TD · Dumas: 34 sig / 1 TD
Abu Azaitar
Sedriques Dumas
27
Sig strikes landed
46
54
Sig strikes attempted
102
49
Total strikes landed
69
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.9
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
191s
Control time
201s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Abu Azaitar

"Captain Morocco"
14-5-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
Blue corner
W1

Sedriques Dumas

"The Reaper"
11-5 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—