Back to UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Javid Basharat vs Victor Henry

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 ·Etihad Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Javid Basharat
Victor Henry
57% 43%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
28
Age
Δ 8y
36
16-2
Career record
Δ 10 pp
26-7
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Could Not Continue · Round 2
Basharat: 30 sig / 1 TD · Henry: 25 sig / 0 TD
Javid Basharat
Victor Henry
68
Sig strikes landed
77
143
Sig strikes attempted
144
85
Total strikes landed
87
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
5.3
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
150s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Javid Basharat

"The Snow Leopard"
16-2 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
Blue corner
W1

Victor Henry

"La Mangosta"
26-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
37
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—