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Mike Breeden vs Anshul Jubli

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 ·Etihad Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Mike Breeden
Anshul Jubli
35% 65%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
34
Age
Δ 6y
29
11-7
Career record
Δ 19 pp
8-2
L3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Breeden: 92 sig / 0 TD · Jubli: 103 sig / 0 TD
Mike Breeden
Anshul Jubli
31
Sig strikes landed
38
54
Sig strikes attempted
73
45
Total strikes landed
57
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.8
0.6
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
46s
Control time
268s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
31%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Mike Breeden

"Money"
11-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
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L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
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L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
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Blue corner
W1

Anshul Jubli

"King of Lions"
8-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
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