Back to UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
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Mohammad Yahya vs Trevor Peek

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 ·Etihad Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Mohammad Yahya
Trevor Peek
60% 40%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
29
Age
Δ 1y
29
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yahya: 43 sig / 1 TD · Peek: 61 sig / 4 TD
Mohammad Yahya
Trevor Peek
44
Sig strikes landed
45
95
Sig strikes attempted
93
57
Total strikes landed
60
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
163s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Mohammad Yahya

"The UAE Warrior"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
Blue corner
L1

Trevor Peek

9-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
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