Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mick Parkin
Jamal Pogues
65%
35%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
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Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Parkin: 95 sig / 0 TD ·
Pogues: 36 sig / 0 TD
Mick Parkin
Jamal Pogues
30
Sig strikes landed
30
59
Sig strikes attempted
52
49
Total strikes landed
53
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
135s
Control time
181s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Mick Parkin
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
W1
Jamal Pogues
12-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
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