Back to UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
Prelims1 Welterweight

Danny Roberts vs Jonny Parsons

UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura ·The O2 Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Danny Roberts
Jonny Parsons
62% 38%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 5"
69"
36
Age
Δ 4y
32
L2
Current streak
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13
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Roberts: 44 sig / 0 TD · Parsons: 63 sig / 0 TD
Danny Roberts
Jonny Parsons
37
Sig strikes landed
34
77
Sig strikes attempted
63
54
Total strikes landed
50
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
133s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Danny Roberts

"Hot Chocolate"
18-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database 13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
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L UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
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W UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
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W UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
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L UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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Blue corner

Jonny Parsons

"The Sluggernaut"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32