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Main Middleweight

Brunno Ferreira vs Nursulton Ruziboev

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Brunno Ferreira
Nursulton Ruziboev
23% 77%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
W1
Current streak
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ferreira: 3 sig / 0 TD · Ruziboev: 6 sig / 1 TD
Brunno Ferreira
Nursulton Ruziboev
25
Sig strikes landed
31
60
Sig strikes attempted
66
36
Total strikes landed
36
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
81s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Brunno Ferreira

"The Hulk"
16-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Blue corner

Nursulton Ruziboev

"Black"
0-0
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30