Prelims1
Lightweight
Guram Kutateladze vs Elves Brener
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Guram Kutateladze
Elves Brener
41%
59%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
13-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
17-6
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Kutateladze: 85 sig / 1 TD ·
Brener: 65 sig / 2 TD
Guram Kutateladze
Elves Brener
59
Sig strikes landed
62
149
Sig strikes attempted
150
64
Total strikes landed
69
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
46s
Control time
52s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Guram Kutateladze
"Georgian Viking"
13-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
Blue corner
W1
Elves Brener
17-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—