Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Ivana Petrovic vs Luana Carolina
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Ivana Petrovic
Luana Carolina
52%
48%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Petrovic: 22 sig / 2 TD ·
Carolina: 41 sig / 1 TD
Ivana Petrovic
Luana Carolina
44
Sig strikes landed
48
97
Sig strikes attempted
94
76
Total strikes landed
69
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
154s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Ivana Petrovic
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
Blue corner
L2
Luana Carolina
"Dread"
11-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
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