Prelims1
Women's Featherweight
Yana Santos vs Karol Rosa
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Yana Santos
Karol Rosa
37%
63%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
34
Age
Δ 5y
28
17-9
Career record
Δ 5 pp
19-8
L2
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Santos: 95 sig / 0 TD ·
Rosa: 66 sig / 1 TD
Yana Santos
Karol Rosa
54
Sig strikes landed
51
117
Sig strikes attempted
103
89
Total strikes landed
89
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.6
3.9
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
203s
Control time
201s
Method
Decision
82%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Yana Santos
17-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
L
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
Blue corner
L1
Karol Rosa
19-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
W
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—