Main
Welterweight
Max Griffin vs Michael Morales
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Max Griffin
Michael Morales
13%
87%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
79"
38
Age
Δ 14y
24
21-13
Career record
Δ 38 pp
20-0
W1
Current streak
W2
14
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Griffin: 36 sig / 0 TD ·
Morales: 72 sig / 1 TD
Max Griffin
Michael Morales
50
Sig strikes landed
72
135
Sig strikes attempted
144
60
Total strikes landed
90
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.8
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
43s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Max Griffin
"Pain"
21-13
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
14 fights · 7-7
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
Blue corner
W2
Michael Morales
20-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—