Prelims1
Heavyweight
Alexandr Romanov vs Blagoy Ivanov
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alexandr Romanov
Blagoy Ivanov
76%
24%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
33
Age
Δ 4y
37
18-4
Career record
Δ 9 pp
19-7
L2
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Romanov: 85 sig / 2 TD ·
Ivanov: 44 sig / 0 TD
Alexandr Romanov
Blagoy Ivanov
43
Sig strikes landed
34
105
Sig strikes attempted
90
65
Total strikes landed
55
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.8
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
218s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Alexandr Romanov
"King Kong"
18-4
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
L
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Blagoy Ivanov
"Baga"
19-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
—
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—