Back to UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Prelims1 Lightweight

Trevor Peek vs Chepe Mariscal

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria ·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Trevor Peek
Chepe Mariscal
47% 53%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
28
Age
Δ 2y
31
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Peek: 51 sig / 0 TD · Mariscal: 71 sig / 4 TD
Trevor Peek
Chepe Mariscal
48
Sig strikes landed
35
92
Sig strikes attempted
94
56
Total strikes landed
40
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.5
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
37s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Trevor Peek

10-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
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Blue corner

Chepe Mariscal

"Machine Gun"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31