Back to UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Prelims1 Featherweight

Jamall Emmers vs Jack Jenkins

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria ·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Jamall Emmers
Jack Jenkins
54% 46%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
68"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
23-8
Career record
Δ 5 pp
15-4
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Emmers: 57 sig / 1 TD · Jenkins: 59 sig / 1 TD
Jamall Emmers
Jack Jenkins
51
Sig strikes landed
57
114
Sig strikes attempted
115
75
Total strikes landed
74
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.3
4.9
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
129s
Control time
190s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Jamall Emmers

"Pretty Boy"
23-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
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L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
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W UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
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L UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
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Blue corner
W1

Jack Jenkins

"Phar"
15-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
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