Back to UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Prelims1 Middleweight

Cody Brundage vs Sedriques Dumas

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria ·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Cody Brundage
Sedriques Dumas
50% 50%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 7"
79"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
12-10-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
10-6
L2
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Brundage: 3 sig / 2 TD · Dumas: 17 sig / 0 TD
Cody Brundage
Sedriques Dumas
27
Sig strikes landed
24
50
Sig strikes attempted
46
40
Total strikes landed
31
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.0
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
134s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Cody Brundage

12-10-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
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L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
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L UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
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Blue corner
L1

Sedriques Dumas

"The Reaper"
10-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
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