Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Tabatha Ricci vs Gillian Robertson
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Tabatha Ricci
Gillian Robertson
53%
47%
Why
61"
Reach
Δ 2"
63"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
13-4
Career record
Δ 7 pp
18-8
W3
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ricci: 100 sig / 3 TD ·
Robertson: 76 sig / 1 TD
Tabatha Ricci
Gillian Robertson
32
Sig strikes landed
30
75
Sig strikes attempted
70
67
Total strikes landed
65
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
4.2
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
199s
Control time
196s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
38%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Tabatha Ricci
"Baby Shark"
13-4
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
Blue corner
W2
Gillian Robertson
"The Savage"
18-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—